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A living timeline of complexity economics research — tracked researchers, verified sources, broad topic search

Field Notes
2026-06

WEHIA XXX merges with the Econophysics Colloquium in AnconaThe 30th Workshop on Economics with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents ran jointly with Econophysics Colloquium 2026, consolidating the two main European complexity-economics meetings.

2026-02

SFI Press publishes The Economy as an Evolving Complex System IVTwo volumes, 31 chapters, edited by del Rio-Chanona, Pangallo, Bednar, Beinhocker, Kaszowska-Mojsa, Lafond, Mealy, Pichler, and Farmer — the first installment of the field-defining series since 2006, free to download.

2026-02

Macrocosm scales complexity economics into industryDoyne Farmer's Oxford spin-out builds agent-based digital twins of the energy transition, with projects for Clean Prosperity (Canada), Aioi Nissay Dowa (Japan), and an NSF-funded global energy investment platform.

2025-11

ECB folds climate risk into the EU-wide stress testMacroprudential Bulletin 32 extends the 2025 EU-wide stress test with firm-level transition and physical climate risks — system-wide climate-financial amplification moves from research into supervisory practice.

2025-11

Hidalgo publishes The Infinite AlphabetCesar Hidalgo's trade book (Penguin) distills two decades of economic complexity research into laws of how productive knowledge grows, diffuses, and decays.

2025-07

SFI Complexity Global School convenes in BogotaRoughly 60 students at Universidad de los Andes for the 12-day school on complexity approaches to economics and governance, under SFI's Emergent Political Economies program.

2025-03

Agent-based modeling gets its Journal of Economic Literature momentAxtell and Farmer's 90-page survey appears in JEL — a mainstream-legitimacy milestone the community dubbed "ABM comes of age" — amassing 200+ citations within a year.

2027-01

SFI Reimagining Economics winter school, Abu DhabiThe SFI-linked winter school on reimagining economics is slated for January 2027 in Abu Dhabi; program details not yet publicly confirmed as of August 2026.

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Suggested Reading
J. Doyne FarmerOxford Review of Economic Policy
Farmersuggested45 min

Farmer's own focused review of quantitative ABM for macro — the paper you're reading first

Robert L. Axtell, J. Doyne FarmerJournal of Economic Literature214 cites
Farmersuggested90 pp — skim sections

The comprehensive ABM survey — Axtell & Farmer's definitive JEL review

J. Doyne FarmerAllen Lane / Yale University Press
FarmersuggestedBook — 384 pp

The accessible entry point — Farmer's popular book on complexity economics

Rupert Way, Matthew C. Ives, Penny Mealy +1Joule362 cites
Farmersuggested25 min

Complexity economics applied to policy — Wright's Law + energy transition

J. Doyne Farmer, Duncan FoleyNature1274 cites
Farmersuggested15 min

The manifesto — frames the entire complexity economics program in 2 pages

J. Doyne Farmer, Paolo Patelli, Ilija I. ZovkoProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences548 cites
Farmersuggested30 min

Elegant empirical result showing mechanism > rationality in markets

Fabrizio Lillo, J. Doyne Farmer, Rosario N. MantegnaNature620 cites
Farmersuggested20 min

Universal scaling law for price impact — data collapse elegance

J. Doyne FarmerIndustrial and Corporate Change430 cites
Farmersuggested30 min (sections 1–3)

The "market ecology" framework — intellectual backbone of Farmer's program

April 2026
Jiaju Chen, Jinghua Piao, Xia Xu +4arXiv1 cites
topic matchfield sweep~1.5h

From the Tsinghua group behind EconAgent: natural-language economic hypotheses compiled into executable ABM experiments — an early glimpse of AI-automated computational economics.

February 2026
T. Youngman, Tim Lennox, M. L. Alves +5arXiv
topic matchfield sweep~1.5h

ABM supporting the UK's Seventh Carbon Budget — a concrete marker of agent-based modeling entering national climate-policy machinery.

January 2026
Eric D. Beinhocker, J. Doyne Farmer, Jenna Bednar +6Book chapter in The Economy as an Evolving Complex System IV, SFI Press
Farmercurated
Brendon Tankwa, Emilien Ravigné, J. Doyne FarmerINET Oxford Working Paper Series No. 2026-01
Farmercurated
September 2025
So Kuroki, Yingtao Tian, Kou Misaki +3arXiv
topic matchfield sweep~1.5h

Sakana AI: memory, tools, and reasoning as swappable components — the controllability infrastructure the LLM-ABM wave has lacked.

R. Maria del Rio-Chanona, Ekkehard Ernst, Rossana Merola +2arXiv7 cites
topic matchfield sweep~2h

del Rio-Chanona and ILO economists reconcile the conflicting AI-labor exposure estimates, which now converge on high-wage cognitive work.

Arnau Quera-Bofarull, Nicholas Bishop, Joel Dyer +4arXiv3 cites
topic matchfield sweep~1.5h

Oxford team makes economic ABMs end-to-end differentiable — gradient-based calibration and integration with deep-learning pipelines.

July 2025
Seth Karten, Wenzhe Li, Zihan Ding +3arXiv20 cites
topic matchfield sweep~1.5h

Princeton-led: a mechanism-designer agent optimizes tax policy over persona-conditioned LLM worker agents — the strongest bridge yet between generative agents and public economics.

June 2025
Cesar A. Hidalgo, Viktor StojkoskiarXiv / TSE Working Paper 1648
topic matchfield sweep~2h

Hidalgo and Stojkoski give economic complexity metrics a unified theoretical foundation after two decades of empirics — a likely anchor citation for the subfield.

May 2025
Jianhao Lin, Lexuan Sun, Yixin YanarXiv1 cites
topic matchfield sweep~1h

LLM agents with memory and heterogeneous personas reproduce human expectation-formation in macro survey experiments — a cheap synthetic-subjects lab for expectations research.

April 2025
Giacomo Zelbi, Leonardo Ialongo, Stefan ThurnerScientific Reports3 cites
topic matchfield sweep~1h

Targeted rewiring of firm-level supply links cuts systemic risk substantially without reducing production — a rare actionable network-policy result from CSH Vienna.

March 2025
Viktor Stojkoski, Cesar A. HidalgoarXiv / TSE Working Paper 1623
topic matchfield sweep~1.5h

Recasts export diversification as an explicit optimization problem — economic complexity moves from descriptive diagrams to prescriptive policy tools.

February 2025
Zlata Tabachova, Christian Diem, Johannes Stangl +2SSRN / arXiv2 cites
topic matchfield sweep~2h

First stress test coupling firm-level supply-chain contagion with bank balance sheets using nation-wide emission estimates.

Aldo Glielmo, Mitja Devetak, Adriano Meligrana +1arXiv2 cites
topic matchfield sweep~1h

Banca d'Italia / IIASA open-source Julia engine for Poledna-style data-driven macro ABMs — lowers the entry cost for central-bank-grade ABM forecasting.

Yuzhe Yang, Yifei Zhang, Minghao Wu +5NeurIPS55 cites
topic matchfield sweep~1.5h

NeurIPS 2025 — 1,000 LLM trader agents endogenously reproduce fat tails, volatility clustering, and self-fulfilling bubbles. Flagship of the LLM-econophysics convergence.

January 2025
Joris Bucker, R. Maria del Rio-Chanona, Anton Pichler +2Joule9 cites
topic matchfield sweep~1h

Input-output model + occupational-mobility network traces which workers face frictions in a 95%-by-2035 US power decarbonization (12 jobs created per job lost in scale-up).

Daniel Jarne Ornia, Nicholas Bishop, Joel Dyer +4arXiv working paper
Farmercurated
Lennart Baumgärtner, J. Doyne FarmerINET Oxford Working Paper Series No. 2025-12
Farmercurated
Thomas Youngman, Pete Barbrook-Johnson, Emilien Ravigné +2Agile Initiative
Farmercurated
Brendon Tankwa, Lucas Vazquez Bassat, Pete Barbrook-Johnson +1INET Oxford Working Paper Series
Farmercurated
January 2023
Peter Barbrook-Johnson, Simon Sharpe, Roberto Pasqualino +10Report
Farmercurated
January 2022
Adrian Carro, Marc Hinterschweiger, Arzu Uluc +1Industrial and Corporate Change
Farmercurated
J. Doyne Farmer, Alissa Kleinnijenhuis, Til Schuermann +1Cambridge University Press (edited volume)
Farmercurated
January 2020
Rupert Way, Penny Mealy, J. Doyne FarmerINET Oxford Working Paper No. 2021-01
Farmercurated
J. Doyne FarmerSFI Press
Farmercurated
December 2013
J. Doyne FarmerJournal of Economic Methodology 20(4)16 cites
Farmercurated
March 2013
J. Doyne Farmer, Spyros SkourasQuantitative Finance 13:3, 325-34653 cites
Farmercurated
January 2012
John Geanakoplos, Robert Axtell, J. Doyne Farmer +6American Economic Review 102(3), 53-58
Farmercurated
Y. Zou, J. Heitzig, R.V. Donner +6Europhysics Letters 98 (4) 48001
Farmercurated
May 2010
D. C. Krakauer, J. C. Flack, S. Dedeo +2International Symposium on Intelligent Data Analysis17 cites
Farmercurated
January 2010
Charles D. Ferguson, Lindsey E Marberger, J. Doyne Farmer +1Nature
Farmercurated
Yonathan Schwarzkopf, J. Doyne FarmerWorking paper
Farmercurated
August 2009
J. Doyne Farmer, John GeanakoplosYale University Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 171968 cites
Farmercurated
January 2009
Dmitriy Cherkashin, J. Doyne Farmer, Seth LloydJournal of Economic Dynamics and Control 33(5): 1091-1105
Farmercurated
J. Doyne Farmer, John GeanakoplosComplexity 14(3)
Farmercurated
January 2005
J. Doyne Farmer, D. E. Smith, M. ShubikPhysics Today 58(9)
Farmercurated
January 2003
J. Doyne FarmerQuantitative Finance 3(4) (commentary/review)
Farmercurated
January 1992
J. Theiler, B. Galdrikian, A. Longtin +2Physica D
Farmercurated
Ute Dressler, J. Doyne FarmerPhysica D 59: 365-377
Farmercurated
R. J. Bagley, J. D. Farmer, W. FontanaBook chapter in Artificial Life II, eds. C. Langton, C. Taylor, J. D. Farmer, S. Rasmussen, 141-158, Addison Wesley104 cites
Farmercurated
January 1991
J. D. Farmer, A. d'A. BelinArtificial Life II (book chapter)
Farmercurated
R. J. Bagley, J. D. FarmerBook chapter in Artificial Life II, eds. C. Langton, C. Taylor, J. D. Farmer, S. Rasmussen, 93-140, Addison Wesley
Farmercurated
January 1990
S. Eubank, J. D. FarmerBook chapter in 1989 Lectures in the Sciences of Complexity
Farmercurated
August 1985
David K. Umberger, J. Doyne FarmerPhysical Review Letters99 cites
Farmercurated
January 1985
J. Doyne FarmerPhysical Review Letters 55(4): 351-355
Farmercurated
J. Doyne Farmer, Indubala I. SatijaPhysical Review A 31(5): 3520-3522
Farmercurated
David Campbell, Jim Crutchfield, J. Doyne Farmer +1Comm. ACM 28(4): 374-384
Farmercurated
January 1984
C. Burks, J. D. FarmerPhysica D 10(1-2), 157-167
Farmercurated
January 1982
J. D. Farmer, J. Hart, P. WeidmanPhysics Letters
Farmercurated